Interest And Inflation
WHAT ARE INTEREST RATES?
Interest and inflation rates are linked and affect our daily lives from the cost of our weekly shop to how much money we can borrow. Interest rates are essentially the amount borrowers are charged for borrowing money. Most banks will show the interest rate as a percentage of the total loan amount. This means that the higher the percentage, the more interest you will pay back over the term of your loan.
If you are not a borrower and you are a saver, then the interest rate will inform you how much money you will accrue in your account. the higher the interest savings rate you have the more money you will be paid into your bank account.
Interest rates vary depending on who you are borrowing from, the amount of your borrowing, the level of risk involved, and the terms of your loan.
If a lender thinks lending you money is high-risk then it is likely they will charge you a higher interest rate. In this way, the economics of a country are impacted by the interest rates.
HOW CHANGES IN THE INTEREST RATE AFFECT US?
One of the most obvious impacts of a changing interest rate is that it affects the amount of interest we are paid (as savers) or pay (as borrowers).
Any time there are changes in interest rates you should examine your savings and lending to see if you will be affected.
For those looking to borrow money, whether that is to buy a house, invest in business, or even just for the purposes of education (such as a student loan), the cost of borrowing will increase when interest rates are raised.
Current economic uncertainty means that businesses, individuals, corporations, and almost everyone in society are impacted.
For homeowners, an increase in interest rates means an increase in repayments (unless the mortgage is based on a fixed rate). Ultimately, this will result in a squeeze on household income and budgets at a time when the UK is dealing with an energy bills crisis and an increase in fuel costs.
To summarize the main effects of rising interest rates:
- increase in mortgage repayments
- increase in the cost of borrowing
- reduced consumer and business confidence
- increased incentive to save more to take advantage of the improved interest rates (but this depends on the rate being offered by banks on savings accounts)
- slower economic growth
- possible rise in unemployment
WHAT IS A BANK RATE?
A bank rate is set by the Bank of England. Arguably, it is the most crucial interest rate and is also sometimes known as the base rate.
The base rate is controlled by the Bank of England and is the rate paid by the Bank of England to businesses and banks that borrow from it.
The Bank of England is known as the central bank of the United Kingdom. They not only set the bank rate, which is currently 1.25%, but they also undertake the regulation of the banking industry, and financial business services, and they oversee the country's monetary policy. This then goes on to affect the economy including employment, wages, spending, and borrowing.
When banks set an interest rate they consider many factors in addition to the bank rate.
However, if the Bank of England changes the bank rate, then banks will also change their interest rate for both borrowers and savers in the market.
WHAT IS INFLATION?
The word inflation describes rising prices. If prices of goods and services are rising quickly then this is referred to as the rate of inflation.
Currently, in the United Kingdom the rate of inflation is 9.4%.
The rate of inflation is worked out by comparing the cost of products today and comparing the price against what the same products cost a year ago. The Office for National Statistics is the organization that is responsible for checking the price of goods and services.
If the price of production, imports, and raw materials increases then it is very likely that the rate of inflation will also increase. In addition, any increase in demand from consumers also causes the inflation rate to increase.
This is what is currently happening in the UK with the cost of living crisis.
WHAT CAUSES INFLATION?
As mentioned above, inflation is caused by various factors. The main drivers of inflation rates going up are the increased cost of production, and increases in raw materials and wages.
If inflation rates begin to increase it means that the cost of basic necessities including food and household items also rises. This can adversely affect society as many people will struggle to afford the basics and fall into debt. Inflation rates could also affect employment rates as employers also face cuts to their budgets and increased costs of operating.
Inflation does not only affect the basic necessities such as food. As we have seen recently in the UK, inflation also affects utilities, fuel costs, clothing, luxury goods, and cars.
Some of the main factors causing the rising prices in the UK, and thereby affecting the rate of inflation, include the following:
- increase in energy bills
- high fuel prices
- the war in Ukraine
- the rising cost of car prices (according to the Office for National Statistics)
- increased costs of household goods and furniture
- increased costs of food
- higher interest rates impacting homeowners
Whilst the cost of goods is rising, the wage increases are not rising in line with the cost of living.
HOW ARE INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION CONNECTED?
Theoretically, interest rates and inflation rates have what is considered to be an inverse relationship. This means that when interest rates are low, inflation is expected to rise, and when interest rates are high inflation rates should go down.
When interest rates are lower, the borrowing power of consumers is increased.
If consumers are spending but the prices of goods are going up faster than wages are increasing, then inflation rates increase. In order to encourage borrowers to borrow less and encourage them to save more the Bank of England increased the interest rate.
The aim is to slow the economy down enough to decrease inflation.
WHY HAVE INTEREST RATES GONE UP?
The Bank of England has increased interest rates so that it can reduce the rate of inflation. If the rate of inflation continues to go up in the UK then this can have many negative effects on UK residents. Currently, the inflation rate in the UK is at a 40 year high.
For example, people will have to pay more and more for goods and services. Property could lose some of its value, and fuel prices could continue to rise.
If inflation rises too high then this is called hyperinflation. This can result in a full economic collapse and devalue the currency.
WHY DID THE BANK OF ENGLAND RAISE INTEREST RATES?
The general view is that if the Bank of England raises interest rates they want people to spend less money.
When interest rates increase the Bank of England hopes that people begin to spend less and save more.
The Role Of The Bank Of England In The Economy
The Bank of England was established in 1694 as a private bank that lent the UK government money.
In 1997, the Bank of England was granted independence so that it could set the interest rates without any form of political affiliation.
The Bank of England is not connected to the Chancellor of the Exchequer as it it is important for it to base its interest rates on economic factors rather than political ones.
Not only does the Bank of England set the base rate, but they also:
- forecast the inflation rates
- issue coins and bank notes
- act as a lender of last resort for UK banks
The Current State Of The Uk Economy
According to PWC, the UK economy was recovering well from the global pandemic.
Unemployment rates were low and the labour market and service industry was recovering well.
However, the war in Ukraine was a shock to the UK economy (and economics globally), impacting it in many different ways including:
- disrupting supplies and services for all industries including retail and construction,
- leading to higher commodity prices and less revenue for businesses
- lower trade levels
- less investment flow
News agencies and websites are reporting that the UK growth outlook for the next 12 months does not look promising.
KPMG has agreed with this analysis stating that the GDP growth this year will halve and slow further in 2023 (UK Economic Outlook Report, KPMG, 2022).
According to KPMG, they predict further interest rate increases from the Bank of England. This is based on data from economic forecasts, consumer spending, interest rates, and the unemployment rates.
WHAT IS HAPPENING IN OTHER COUNTRIES?
Many other countries around the world are dealing with similar problems that the UK economy is dealing with.
According to the Office for National Statistics, the European Union is facing similar rates of inflation as the UK.
The United States is reporting inflation levels of 9.1%.
DO INTEREST RATE AND INFLATION RISES AFFECT INVESTOR BEHAVIOR?
The basic answer to this question is yes. Interest rates and inflation rates affect investor behavior. In fact, changes in inflation and interest rates affect everyone.
What it means in real terms is that any money you have saved could be worth less today than it was yesterday. High inflation rates impact the purchasing power and confidence of consumers and their spending.
Inflation rates and interest rates affect investment portfolios. If investors are finding it more expensive to borrow funds to invest then it is very likely that investments overall will reduce.
Investor Risk
Investors aim to increase their wealth and minimize their risk and tax liabilities. In an economy where interest rates and inflation are rising, there is normally an impact on portfolios and investments.
Rising inflation not only affects stocks and bonds it also affects property prices. Of course, all investment comes with a risk of losses.
Any investor with inflation-indexed assets or liabilities needs to be particularly aware of the changes in their portfolio.
Also, as interest rates rise this affects borrowing. As borrowing becomes more expensive, this leads to investors having less money available to invest.
Rises in interest rates also affect the stock market and the impact of the rise is usually felt quicker than in the general economy.
Normally, when interest rates fluctuate investors should expect the market rate of their bonds to also fluctuate. However, not all bonds are equally affected. Bonds that have short maturities may not be as impacted as bonds with longer maturities.
For investors who have a long-term outlook and planning when it comes to their portfolio, short-term changes to the interest rate should not significantly impact them.
For an investor who is looking at the long-term goal and who has a mix of assets, the long-term outlook of their portfolio should be fine.
To summarize, when interest rates increase the impact on investments includes the following:
- a rise in mortgage rates
- affect on the price of commodities
- Fall in bond prices
- Potential losses in the stock market
- fluctuations in real estate values
- increases competition between banks
Interest Rates And Islamic Finance Customers
For many borrowers, any increase in interest rates will affect how much they pay back to the bank they have borrowed from. The exception to this is those with fixed rate loans or mortgages. As the interest rate on these loans has effectively been 'fixed' for a specific period, then interest hikes or drops will not affect the repayments. Make sure to check when your fixed rate period comes to an end so you can plan accordingly.
In theory, for customers of banks who want Islamic Finance and Sharia compliant services, changes in the interest rate should not adversely affect borrowers or savers. This is because banking services based on Islamic Finance principles do not rely on interest or include any form of interest payment.
Conceptually, Islamic banking customers are not motivated by profits or gains. Therefore, changes to the interest rate should not affect them.
However, on a wider scale, any changes to the interest rates and inflation will affect all lending institutions in some way. Many Islamic Finance lenders use the base rate of the country to benchmark their repayment calculations. This means any increase to the base rate could affect the repayments for customers of Islamic finance products.
However, for economies where the interest and inflation rates and subject to fluctuation, this could lead to more people being interested in the interest-free products offered by financial institutions that offer Sharia compliant services. A research study in Malaysia found that any increase in base rates increased consumer interest in Islamic mortgages.
Ultimately, how you are affected by increased interest rates and inflation rates depends entirely on your financial circumstances and the management of your investment portfolio.
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WHAT IS ISLAMIC FINANCE?
Islamic finance is a financial system based on Sharia principles - the religious law enshrined within Islam. Islamic finance offers an alternative financial system to the conventional systems, and is based on fairness, transparency, and social justice.
WHO USES ISLAMIC FINANCE?
Islamic finance is a growing industry and is used extensively by Muslims throughout the world. However, more and more non Muslims are also looking at Islamic finance services as they want to operate in a more ethical way.
DO MUSLIMS PAY INTEREST IN THE UK?
Whilst Muslims are discouraged from paying or earning interest in any form under Islamic finance rules, many Muslims in the West do pay interest. However, more and more Muslims are becoming aware of alternative financial systems and products that enable them to access loans and financial services that are compliant with Sharia law.
CAN MUSLIMS TAKE LOANS?
Yes, of course. Taking a loan is not prohibited in Islam. However, it is important to ensure that the loan terms are compliant with Sharia rules.
HOW DO ISLAMIC LOANS WORK?
Islamic loans are structured and developed to ensure they are halal - that is they do not contravene any rules in Islam relating to finances. For example, an Islamic loan will not have any element of interest attached to it.
WHY CAN'T MUSLIMS EARN INTEREST?
In Islam, interest is seen as exploitative as it leads to the lender making a profit at the expense of the borrower. Islam views interest as the unfair accumulation of the wealthy and this can lead to financial distress for those who need to borrow money. Interest is viewed as being against the promotion of social justice and economic fairness which are key concepts underpinning Islamic finance.
WHAT IS HARAM IN ISLAMIC FINANCE?
The following are deemed haram in Islam: riba/interest, gambling, excessive uncertainty, investment in haram industries or practices.
WHAT IS ETHICAL FINANCE?
While there is no universally accepted definition of ethical finance, the Ethical Finance Hub describes it as "A system of financial management or investment that seeks qualitative outcomes other than purely the management of returns. Outcomes sought may reflect ideas from faith, social, environmental and governance theories."
IS ISLAMIC OR SHARIA-COMPLIANT FINANCE ETHICAL?
The World Bank mentions that Islamic finance is ethical, sustainable, environmentally and socially responsible finance. It promotes risk sharing, connects the financial sector with the real economy, and emphasizes financial inclusion and social welfare.
While there is no universally accepted definition of ethical finance, the Ethical Finance Hub describes it as "A system of financial management or investment that seeks qualitative outcomes other than purely the management of returns. Outcomes sought may reflect ideas from faith, social, environmental and governance theories."
The growth of Sharia-compliant finance services has led to a similar growth in technology that is advancing and supporting sharia compliancy for businesses. Sharia-compliant fintech has emerged as driver of innovation and ensuring businesses can operate efficiently and within the rules of Islamic finance.
By leveraging technology, Sharia-compliant businesses are able to operate in a compliant way whilst also ensuring they are not left behind in the fintech revolution.
In addition, businesses can use technology to offer their clients and customers opportunities to become more engaged in socially responsible and ethical financial activities.
Technology that supports Sharia-compliant businesses to operate also supports Islamic finance principles relating to money, financial transactions, and any form of investment.
WHAT IS SHARIA-COMPLIANT TECHNOLOGY?
When we talk about Sharia-compliant financial technology (fintech), we refer to technological solutions that adhere to Islamic finance rules relating to Sharia-compliant transactions and services.
The fintech can take the form of online tools or cutting edge technology that includes artificial intelligence, blockchain, online banking, Sharia compliant banking, and apps that support Muslim businesses.
Sharia-compliant technology needs to ensure it is:
- Compliant
- Transparent
- In accordance with Islamic finance rules
- Accessible
Technology that is Sharia-compliant plays a critical role in ensuring that Muslim businesses can expand their reach and continue to grow. For many years, Muslim entrepreneurs and SMEs in the West had no alternative to the conventional form of finance structures offered by Western banking services.
These services and products were mainly not compliant with Sharia rules as they relied heavily on interest based lending (riba) which is strictly prohibited in Islam.
With the advent and growth of Islamic finance, the fintech industry has developed many different types of technology to support businesses and customers who want to carry out business transactions whilst remaining true to their Islamic principles.
The Intersection Of Ethics And Fintech
The combination of technology and ethics is a key component of Sharia compliant finance. Islamic finance rules are underpinned by concepts of social justice and ethics, and it therefore follows that technology must also play its role in implementing and amplifying ethics.
Leveraging technology within Islamic finance via fintech platforms and services means that businesses are increasing their ethical standing and social responsibility.
Sharia compliant fintech platforms and products needs to ensure that interest is prohibited, excessive uncertainty or ambiguity is avoided, and there is complete transparency. What technology facilitates within the Islamic finance sector, is efficiency, broader accessibility, and transparency. These are all key ethical concepts within the Islamic finance framework.
Smart contracts and decentralised platforms lead to greater accessibility and efficiency. They take the control away from large organisations and ensure that previously excluded financial groups can partake in business, whether as owners or customers.
Fintech Solutions
Technological solutions enable automated compliance, increased monitoring, reporting, real time tracking, and enhanced risk assessment and mitigation. These all align with the ethical values of Islamic finance and Sharia rules.
As technology and fintech solutions continue to evolve and come to the market, they are playing a crucial role in the accessibility of Sharia-compliant business finance. This is done through technology that enhances transparency, accessibility and offers innovation.
Let's have a look at some of the solutions that enable businesses to operate in a Sharia-compliant way:
- Smart contracts: smart contracts facilitate automation and transparency for all parties and therefore reducing any risk of exploitation and future disputes.
- Blockchain: blockchain technology is centralised this means control moves away from the conventional bank model and market. Blockchain also reduces the risk of fraud.
- Digital banking: online banking platforms have not only introduced global audiences to more finance options, but these platforms are often user friendly and Sharia compliant. Customers and businesses are able to access current accounts, business accounts and financial solutions at the press of a few buttons.
- Crowdfunding: these platforms are fast emerging as a Sharia compliant form of raising capital and investment. Many Muslim businesses and ventures across the world have created crowdfunding campaigns when they have not been able to find Sharia-compliant funding options for their project.
- AI: the future is definitely becoming more automated and managed. When it comes to the financial services economy, it is fair to say AI has the potential to revolutionise the products and services that already exist.
- Regulation tech (Regtech): for many Muslim businesses including those in the healthtech sector (dentists, pharmaceutical companies, health centres) regtech is critical. Not only does it ensure regulatory compliance, but is also essential for monitoring and maintaining Sharia compliancy.
Islamic Fintech And Social Innovation
The basic principles that underpin Islamic finance are rooted in financial stability and security. For businesses, this includes an element of corporate social responsibility. The advances in technology mean that fintech has provided businesses with the ability to compete on equal or better ground than those operating in the conventional banking system.
Technological innovations including online banking platforms have enhanced compliance with Sharia law. For example, online platforms have led to increased:
- Transparency
- Accessibility of Sharia compliant products
- Automation of compliance monitoring and reporting
- Secure transactions
- Educational information
- Customised Sharia-compliant solutions
Technology For Businesses And Individuals
It's not only businesses that are benefiting from compliant fintech solutions.
Consumers and customers are also becoming deeply ingrained in new and innovative digital ecosystems. Just consider how many people use online banking apps to monitor their spending, make obligatory payments such as zakat and sadaqa online, or donate their accrued interest payments in halal ways.
For businesses within the health sector such as dentists and pharmaceutical organisations, technology has enabled them to operate in a Sharia compliant way.
Technology aids businesses to plan their strategy whilst also ensuring they continue to adhere to Islamic finance principles.Technology is used to improve accuracy and efficiency by providing real time data. Sharia compliance can often be automated within the technological systems those in the health sector use.
If your business is to grow, you need to invest in it. Whether the business is a start up, just getting going, or an established firm looking to expand, it needs cash to pay for recruitment, infrastructure, marketing, stock or whatever it is that you need for growth.
Choosing the way to fund your business growth can make a huge difference to your firm's future. While raising finance has one objective - to give you more working capital to invest in growth - the method you choose can have significant implications.
There are different routes for raising this finance. You can put money into the business yourself, take out a bank loan, receive capital from an external investor or take one of several other options. Factors that influence your choice include why you want the finance, the amount involved, your attitude to risk and business ownership, the assets available and your plan for repaying the funds.
How much and for how long
Before entering into a funding arrangement, it's important to be very clear on how much money the business needs and the plan for repaying it. You're investing in future growth, meaning potentially more sales and more profit, but how long will it take for these to come through? Preparing a detailed budget and cashflow gives you clearer visibility of how long it will be before you can repay. While you can't predict the outcome of your business growth activities, you can, using some reasonable assumptions, form a good idea of what's likely to happen.
Armed with this information, you're now in a better position to choose the right funding option for your business.
Debt finance
Raising money for your business can involve borrowing money from your family, a bank or other financial institution. Borrowing, or debt finance, can take the form of a loan, a credit card, invoice finance or some alternative mechanism, such as peer-to-peer borrowing. You're committing to make repayments over a period of time, usually paying interest on the amount borrowed.
Debt finance is either secured or unsecured. A secured debt is where the amount borrowed is linked with an asset, such as a building, and the lender has rights over that asset should you default on making the agreed repayments. You're giving the lender some security that they'll get their money back should your business become unable to repay.
An unsecured debt is not linked to an asset, making it harder for the lender to recover their money. As a result, the interest payments on an unsecured arrangement are often higher and the amount you can borrow is lower. Many financial institutions ask that a director signs a personal guarantee, making them personally responsible for ensuring that the debt is settled.
One risk of debt finance is that the business can become trapped in a debt cycle. You're continually borrowing and paying interest, which eats away at profits. Debt finance can be hugely useful, but its use should be planned and managed.
Equity finance
Equity finance means exchanging part of your business in return for a cash investment. This can be a popular approach for a startup company, particularly where high growth is anticipated, but it needs substantial investment to get going. Venture capitalists and angel investors are always looking out for investment opportunities like this - a business they can buy into that will give them a high return, years in the future.
Because equity capital means giving up ownership of part of your business, it can also mean handing over an element of control. The extent of this should be agreed in advance, in order to set clear expectations. Some investors are comfortable with leaving the founder to manage the business while others want some input into strategic decisions. This can be useful where the investment comes from someone with solid commercial knowledge and experience that they are able to share. Some angel investors want to provide mentorship as part of their investment.
Business angels and others willing to make an investment in equity will want some assurance as to how they will get their money back, and more besides. This could be in the form of dividends or as proceeds from the sale of the business.
The benefits of equity investments include access to larger sums of capital, and potentially, access to the expertise of their investor and their network of contacts. The downside can be loss of total control.
Asset finance
Your choice of funding is broader when your business has assets, such as property, equipment or non-tangible items such as intellectual property. An asset has intrinsic value and this value can be released by taking out finance that's secured on the asset. An example of this is a sale and leaseback arrangement, where the business effectively sells the asset, say a major piece of equipment, and then leases it back from the new owner. This ensures that you can still use the asset, but you also get a lump sum payment from the sale.
A related approach to raising money is invoice finance, also known as invoice factoring. This is often used to improve cash flow in a business that raises invoices on credit terms. The company gets paid almost as soon as it's raised an invoice, even though the customer may take 30 days or even longer to settle the bill. As with most such asset finance arrangements, the interest rate on the money borrowed will affect its cost and the impact on the bottom line.
Business finance can also be raised against the value of an asset in the possession of the business owner, typically a private property.
Crowdfunding finance
The sharing of the risks and rewards of doing business has been at the heart of commercial funding for hundreds of years. That's the principle behind the stock market. Today, crowdfunding is a popular solution to the problem of finding investment for your business growth plans. It comes in various forms, allowing you to raise either debt or equity finance. There are a number of crowdfunding platforms online, each of which offers a different approach to both risk and reward for their members.
The Qardus option for business funding
We provide finance to small and medium-sized enterprises with growth potential that the business owners want to unlock. The funding available is from £50k to £200k with terms of between 6 and 36 months.
Our funding process is rooted in Islamic community principles and is certified as Sharia-compliant. As a result, we don't charge interest and we don't work in business sectors considered damaging to society, such as alcohol, tobacco or gambling.
Because of our principles, our funding solution is an attractive option for Muslim business owners, but we also provide funding to business owners outside the Muslim community.
We offer fast, flexible and affordable business growth funding that's firmly grounded in ethical principles.
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