Interest And Inflation
WHAT ARE INTEREST RATES?
Interest and inflation rates are linked and affect our daily lives from the cost of our weekly shop to how much money we can borrow. Interest rates are essentially the amount borrowers are charged for borrowing money. Most banks will show the interest rate as a percentage of the total loan amount. This means that the higher the percentage, the more interest you will pay back over the term of your loan.
If you are not a borrower and you are a saver, then the interest rate will inform you how much money you will accrue in your account. the higher the interest savings rate you have the more money you will be paid into your bank account.
Interest rates vary depending on who you are borrowing from, the amount of your borrowing, the level of risk involved, and the terms of your loan.
If a lender thinks lending you money is high-risk then it is likely they will charge you a higher interest rate. In this way, the economics of a country are impacted by the interest rates.
HOW CHANGES IN THE INTEREST RATE AFFECT US?
One of the most obvious impacts of a changing interest rate is that it affects the amount of interest we are paid (as savers) or pay (as borrowers).
Any time there are changes in interest rates you should examine your savings and lending to see if you will be affected.
For those looking to borrow money, whether that is to buy a house, invest in business, or even just for the purposes of education (such as a student loan), the cost of borrowing will increase when interest rates are raised.
Current economic uncertainty means that businesses, individuals, corporations, and almost everyone in society are impacted.
For homeowners, an increase in interest rates means an increase in repayments (unless the mortgage is based on a fixed rate). Ultimately, this will result in a squeeze on household income and budgets at a time when the UK is dealing with an energy bills crisis and an increase in fuel costs.
To summarize the main effects of rising interest rates:
- increase in mortgage repayments
- increase in the cost of borrowing
- reduced consumer and business confidence
- increased incentive to save more to take advantage of the improved interest rates (but this depends on the rate being offered by banks on savings accounts)
- slower economic growth
- possible rise in unemployment
WHAT IS A BANK RATE?
A bank rate is set by the Bank of England. Arguably, it is the most crucial interest rate and is also sometimes known as the base rate.
The base rate is controlled by the Bank of England and is the rate paid by the Bank of England to businesses and banks that borrow from it.
The Bank of England is known as the central bank of the United Kingdom. They not only set the bank rate, which is currently 1.25%, but they also undertake the regulation of the banking industry, and financial business services, and they oversee the country's monetary policy. This then goes on to affect the economy including employment, wages, spending, and borrowing.
When banks set an interest rate they consider many factors in addition to the bank rate.
However, if the Bank of England changes the bank rate, then banks will also change their interest rate for both borrowers and savers in the market.
WHAT IS INFLATION?
The word inflation describes rising prices. If prices of goods and services are rising quickly then this is referred to as the rate of inflation.
Currently, in the United Kingdom the rate of inflation is 9.4%.
The rate of inflation is worked out by comparing the cost of products today and comparing the price against what the same products cost a year ago. The Office for National Statistics is the organization that is responsible for checking the price of goods and services.
If the price of production, imports, and raw materials increases then it is very likely that the rate of inflation will also increase. In addition, any increase in demand from consumers also causes the inflation rate to increase.
This is what is currently happening in the UK with the cost of living crisis.
WHAT CAUSES INFLATION?
As mentioned above, inflation is caused by various factors. The main drivers of inflation rates going up are the increased cost of production, and increases in raw materials and wages.
If inflation rates begin to increase it means that the cost of basic necessities including food and household items also rises. This can adversely affect society as many people will struggle to afford the basics and fall into debt. Inflation rates could also affect employment rates as employers also face cuts to their budgets and increased costs of operating.
Inflation does not only affect the basic necessities such as food. As we have seen recently in the UK, inflation also affects utilities, fuel costs, clothing, luxury goods, and cars.
Some of the main factors causing the rising prices in the UK, and thereby affecting the rate of inflation, include the following:
- increase in energy bills
- high fuel prices
- the war in Ukraine
- the rising cost of car prices (according to the Office for National Statistics)
- increased costs of household goods and furniture
- increased costs of food
- higher interest rates impacting homeowners
Whilst the cost of goods is rising, the wage increases are not rising in line with the cost of living.
HOW ARE INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION CONNECTED?
Theoretically, interest rates and inflation rates have what is considered to be an inverse relationship. This means that when interest rates are low, inflation is expected to rise, and when interest rates are high inflation rates should go down.
When interest rates are lower, the borrowing power of consumers is increased.
If consumers are spending but the prices of goods are going up faster than wages are increasing, then inflation rates increase. In order to encourage borrowers to borrow less and encourage them to save more the Bank of England increased the interest rate.
The aim is to slow the economy down enough to decrease inflation.
WHY HAVE INTEREST RATES GONE UP?
The Bank of England has increased interest rates so that it can reduce the rate of inflation. If the rate of inflation continues to go up in the UK then this can have many negative effects on UK residents. Currently, the inflation rate in the UK is at a 40 year high.
For example, people will have to pay more and more for goods and services. Property could lose some of its value, and fuel prices could continue to rise.
If inflation rises too high then this is called hyperinflation. This can result in a full economic collapse and devalue the currency.
WHY DID THE BANK OF ENGLAND RAISE INTEREST RATES?
The general view is that if the Bank of England raises interest rates they want people to spend less money.
When interest rates increase the Bank of England hopes that people begin to spend less and save more.
The Role Of The Bank Of England In The Economy
The Bank of England was established in 1694 as a private bank that lent the UK government money.
In 1997, the Bank of England was granted independence so that it could set the interest rates without any form of political affiliation.
The Bank of England is not connected to the Chancellor of the Exchequer as it it is important for it to base its interest rates on economic factors rather than political ones.
Not only does the Bank of England set the base rate, but they also:
- forecast the inflation rates
- issue coins and bank notes
- act as a lender of last resort for UK banks
The Current State Of The Uk Economy
According to PWC, the UK economy was recovering well from the global pandemic.
Unemployment rates were low and the labour market and service industry was recovering well.
However, the war in Ukraine was a shock to the UK economy (and economics globally), impacting it in many different ways including:
- disrupting supplies and services for all industries including retail and construction,
- leading to higher commodity prices and less revenue for businesses
- lower trade levels
- less investment flow
News agencies and websites are reporting that the UK growth outlook for the next 12 months does not look promising.
KPMG has agreed with this analysis stating that the GDP growth this year will halve and slow further in 2023 (UK Economic Outlook Report, KPMG, 2022).
According to KPMG, they predict further interest rate increases from the Bank of England. This is based on data from economic forecasts, consumer spending, interest rates, and the unemployment rates.
WHAT IS HAPPENING IN OTHER COUNTRIES?
Many other countries around the world are dealing with similar problems that the UK economy is dealing with.
According to the Office for National Statistics, the European Union is facing similar rates of inflation as the UK.
The United States is reporting inflation levels of 9.1%.
DO INTEREST RATE AND INFLATION RISES AFFECT INVESTOR BEHAVIOR?
The basic answer to this question is yes. Interest rates and inflation rates affect investor behavior. In fact, changes in inflation and interest rates affect everyone.
What it means in real terms is that any money you have saved could be worth less today than it was yesterday. High inflation rates impact the purchasing power and confidence of consumers and their spending.
Inflation rates and interest rates affect investment portfolios. If investors are finding it more expensive to borrow funds to invest then it is very likely that investments overall will reduce.
Investor Risk
Investors aim to increase their wealth and minimize their risk and tax liabilities. In an economy where interest rates and inflation are rising, there is normally an impact on portfolios and investments.
Rising inflation not only affects stocks and bonds it also affects property prices. Of course, all investment comes with a risk of losses.
Any investor with inflation-indexed assets or liabilities needs to be particularly aware of the changes in their portfolio.
Also, as interest rates rise this affects borrowing. As borrowing becomes more expensive, this leads to investors having less money available to invest.
Rises in interest rates also affect the stock market and the impact of the rise is usually felt quicker than in the general economy.
Normally, when interest rates fluctuate investors should expect the market rate of their bonds to also fluctuate. However, not all bonds are equally affected. Bonds that have short maturities may not be as impacted as bonds with longer maturities.
For investors who have a long-term outlook and planning when it comes to their portfolio, short-term changes to the interest rate should not significantly impact them.
For an investor who is looking at the long-term goal and who has a mix of assets, the long-term outlook of their portfolio should be fine.
To summarize, when interest rates increase the impact on investments includes the following:
- a rise in mortgage rates
- affect on the price of commodities
- Fall in bond prices
- Potential losses in the stock market
- fluctuations in real estate values
- increases competition between banks
Interest Rates And Islamic Finance Customers
For many borrowers, any increase in interest rates will affect how much they pay back to the bank they have borrowed from. The exception to this is those with fixed rate loans or mortgages. As the interest rate on these loans has effectively been 'fixed' for a specific period, then interest hikes or drops will not affect the repayments. Make sure to check when your fixed rate period comes to an end so you can plan accordingly.
In theory, for customers of banks who want Islamic Finance and Sharia compliant services, changes in the interest rate should not adversely affect borrowers or savers. This is because banking services based on Islamic Finance principles do not rely on interest or include any form of interest payment.
Conceptually, Islamic banking customers are not motivated by profits or gains. Therefore, changes to the interest rate should not affect them.
However, on a wider scale, any changes to the interest rates and inflation will affect all lending institutions in some way. Many Islamic Finance lenders use the base rate of the country to benchmark their repayment calculations. This means any increase to the base rate could affect the repayments for customers of Islamic finance products.
However, for economies where the interest and inflation rates and subject to fluctuation, this could lead to more people being interested in the interest-free products offered by financial institutions that offer Sharia compliant services. A research study in Malaysia found that any increase in base rates increased consumer interest in Islamic mortgages.
Ultimately, how you are affected by increased interest rates and inflation rates depends entirely on your financial circumstances and the management of your investment portfolio.
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Introduction
Equity financing refers to a particular method of funding a business to sustain and grow its operations. Equity involves raising funds by issuing shares for investors. Investors who buy shares of a company become shareholders and can earn investment gains if the stock price rises in value or if the company pays a dividend. Dividends are typically cash payments as a reward to shareholders for investing in the company. Equity finance allows a company to raise these funds without borrowing from conventional banks, which typically charge interest. In equity financing, there is no promise to repay the investment like in a loan arrangement, nor is there an interest component.
Impact
Equity finance has no impact on a firm's profitability, but it can dilute existing shareholders' holdings because the company's net income is divided among a larger number of shares. This means that the overall number of shares have increased but the percentage of shares owned by a shareholder decreases. For example, let's say a company has 100 shares outstanding, and an investor owns ten shares or 10% of the company's stock. If the company issues 100 additional new shares, the investor now has 5% ownership of the company's stock since the investor owns five shares out of 200. In other words, the investor's holdings have been diluted by the newly issued shares.
Generally, equity finance has the following characteristics:
- Shareholders get a level of ownership in the company
- Shareholders do no receive any interest payments, but may receive a dividend
- The investment is generally permanent without any maturity
- Upon liquidation, shareholders through equity financing are generally last to be paid
Sources of Equity Financing
- Funds are generally raised through the following methods when financing through equity issuance:
- Personal finances / bootstrapping - most small business begins this way
- Venture capital (VC) - businesses who specialise in making investments in companies in whom they see potential
- Private investors / angel investors - like VC, but they are usually individuals rather than firms
- Family & friends - taking cash from people you know in exchange for part ownership
- Crowdfunding or equity crowdfunding - a recent method of fundraising which gives the public early or exclusive access to a product or service in exchange for up-front funds. Equity crowdfunding involves offering shares for funds at an early stage
- Government - in certain circumstances a government grant may be available for small businesses
- IPO (or initial public offering) - to float your company on a stock exchange and sell shares to the public
Shariah structures for Equity Financing
There are two famous structures in Islamic Finance which are used to establish equity financing, they are Mudaraba and Musharaka.
Mudaraba
Mudaraba refers to a relationship between an investor (Rab al maal) and an investment manager (Mudarib) to establish a profit-sharing partnership to undertake a business or investment activity. Under this structure, the Rab al maal provides the financing or funds and the Mudarib provides the professional, managerial, and technical know-how to carry out the business or manage the investment. The Mudarib must invest the funds in a Shariah compliant way. The parties share in any profits according to a pre-agreed ratio. In a Mudaraba, the Mudarib:
- Puts only its time and effort at risk and does not contribute any capital.
- Is not responsible for any losses of the venture. Losses, however, are borne entirely by the Rab al maal.
Musharaka
A Musharaka is an investment partnership or joint venture compliant with Islamic principles. In a Musharaka, the financing party and its client contribute assets (cash or property) to a joint venture and share in the profits of the joint venture in agreed percentages. The joint venture is structured so that the financing party receives its initial investment plus a return that is usually calculated by a reference to a benchmark. Losses, however, are shared in accordance with the parties' initial investment. All Musharaka parties have the right to exercise control over the joint venture but it is typically managed by the client.
Musharaka is similar to Mudaraba except that in a Mudaraba only the financing party bears the losses associated with the joint venture or partnership.
Introduction
Across the world of finance, business, corporate transactions, and investments, adherence to ethical and religious principles is becoming increasingly important. People are actively searching for Sharia compliant venture capital which stands at the intersection of entrepreneurship and Islamic finance.
Not only does Sharia-compliant venture capital support businesses to operate within the rules of Islamic finance, but also ensures that they have adequate funding to innovate and grow.
Sharia-compliant venture capital facilitates and enables ethical growth and investment. What this means in the long-term for businesses is that they can ensure their growth is sustainable and stable.
WHAT IS VENTURE CAPITAL?
In its very basic form, venture capital is exactly what it says it is. It is capital (money) for a venture. It provides essential funds for (usually) start-ups or small and medium-sized enterprises that have potential for growth and want to minimise their debt. The aim of anyone investing in these businesses is to see a good return on their investment.
Investors or venture capital firms that invest in a business provide capital funding in exchange for ownership or some equity in the business.
For Muslims, venture capital is a move away from obtaining funding from banks which offer loans that do not adhere to Sharia principles. Primarily, conventional banks offer loans based on interest calculations and interest is prohibited in Islam.
In addition to funding, some venture capitalists offer advice and mentoring to the businesses they invest in. This can be a great boost for those looking for management expertise. This can come in the form of strategic guidance, access to networks, and business development opportunities. The aim is to accelerate the trajectory growth of the business.
To summarise, venture capital plays a significant role in supporting innovation. Many new businesses can struggle to secure the finance to enable them to grow as they do not have a trading history or record of achievement. Being able to access venture capital means ideas become innovations, and innovations can become successful.
Sharia Compliant Venture Capital
When it comes to Sharia-compliant venture capital we are referring to venture capital that operates within the parameters of Islamic finance. The principles of Islamic finance are based on ethical and socially responsible transactions, and zero interest-based lending.
Unlike the more traditional form of venture capital funds, Sharia compliant venture capital invests in those promising businesses that operate in Sharia-compliant industries. This means Sharia-compliant venture capital cannot invest in industries such as the porn, alcohol, or gambling industry.
More likely is that venture capital funds will invest in industries such as healthcare, sustainability, renewable energy, and education.
Innovation And Islamic Finance
A critical element of Sharia-compliant venture capital is to support and encourage innovation within the Islamic finance ecosystem. What this means for businesses and entrepreneurs is that they can pursue Islamic and innovative ideas whilst ensuring they can access funding in a Sharia compliant way.
One of the key concepts within Sharia compliant venture capital is the concept of risk sharing (mudarabah). What this means is for investors to provide the capital to entrepreneurs who use the money to grow and develop the business idea.
Any profits that are generated are then shared between the parties in pre-agreed terms and ratios. In a difficult and unpredictable economy, it means businesses can access finance and develop their product and services where otherwise they may not be able to.
Ethical Investments And Venture Capital
When it comes to investments, Sharia rules are strict and require that investments are fully halal. What this means is that venture capital cannot be spent on haram activities or industries.
Instead, venture capital investments must be used for ventures that are ethical and that contribute to society in a positive way. Not only does this ensure compliance with Islam, but also ensures that the capital is spent in a way that aligns with Islamic finance and the beliefs of the investor and business.
Islamic Finance And Entrepreneurship
When it comes to Islamic finance, money serves mainly as a medium of exchange rather than a tradable commodity value. For entrepreneurs with innovative ideas, they need the money to be able to scale and grow their idea into a profitable business.
When looking for Sharia-compliant venture capital businesses need to look out for:
- Mudarabah/ profit sharing: make sure any contract relating to venture capital investment is based on a fair and pre agreed payment ratio (with losses borne by the investor).
- Musharakah: in this type of partnership arrangement the parties share the profits according to the capital contribution.
- Advisors: make sure that you have access to a Sharia advisor who can advise on compliancy and ongoing compliance.
- Investment: any investment should be halal and in halal industries
- Annual disclosure: check and monitor Sharia compliancy and ensure you have annual disclosure for transparency
- Regulation: ensure there is a regulatory framework that is rooted in Islamic finance.
Ventures Supported By Sharia-Compliant Capital
Many businesses have been supported by Sharia compliant venture capital. The remit of businesses includes fintech companies, digital, and health care sectors.
For any new business or SME looking for investment, venture capital is often the perfect solution.
Venture capital plays a critical role in many different ways:
- provides financial resource and financial services
- supports early stage innovation
- facilitates experimentation and entrepreneurship
- provides guidance via the mentorship model
- offers long term perspective
- provides capital solutions
- offers market exposure
- enables SME to navigate new sectors
- focus away from the bank to the investor
- opportunity to scale growth and capital
- ecosystem and infrastructure development
Future Trends
The future of Islamic venture capital funds looks bright. The Islamic finance market is one of the fastest growing financial markets in the world. Accompanied by technological advancement and the increasing demand for Sharia-compliant products and finance, venture capital funds that adhere to Islamic finance rules will continue to grow.
The demand for ethical venture capital is not only driven by Muslims. There are huge swathes of communities who want to invest in a more socially responsible and ethical way. Not only does this generate sustainable growth, but also supports efficiency and economic prosperity for the long term.
Introduction
A pension fund is a pool of money that is managed by professional fund managers. The aim of the fund is to save money and invest money in preparation for retirement. A Sharia pension fund is a saving scheme for retirement that aligns with the rules of Islam. Sharia pension funds do not attach themselves to any form of interest or any haram industries.
Sharia pension funds are ethical investments, with funds invested in industries that offer social benefits such as healthcare, agriculture, and education.
With the rise of Islamic finance on a global level and the increased demand for Sharia-compliant financial services, the growth of Sharia pension funds has expanded significantly.
Sharia pension funds will typically have a screening process ensuring they comply with Islamic finance rules. It is important for these types of pension funds to have ongoing compliance monitoring, which means that a qualified Sharia scholar or expert reviews compliance regularly.
In 2024 Sharia pension funds saw significant growth. The Nest Sharia Fund increased its assets by a third to over £180 million.
Historically, Muslims have found it difficult to fund Sharia-compliant funds. The Office for National Statistics found in 2021 that 33% of Muslim employees did not have a workplace pension due to concerns about Sharia-compliance.
These statistics make it clear that there is a huge market for pension funds that comply with Islamic finance principles. Recently, the Financial Times has reported that Sharia pension funds are seeing a huge swell 'amid returns boost'.
WHAT MAKES A PENSION FUND SHARIA-COMPLIANT?
The key features of a Sharia-compliant pension fund are:
- Strictly no interest: the pension fund should have no involvement with interest in any way. This means that any interest-yielding activities, industries or products are not permissible.
- Ethical investing: the pension fund should be mindful of the industries the investments are involved in. Industries and sectors considered haram such as gambling and alcohol should be avoided.
- Compliance: compliance and ongoing monitoring are essential for a Sharia complaint pension fund.
- Sharia screening: financial and ethical screening must take place to ensure that organisations invested in have low levels of overall debt.
- Models of operation: profit-sharing and risk-sharing are the encouraged models of partnership working.
Some examples of Sharia-compliant funds include the following:
- sukuk/Islamic bonds
- investing in property without interest-based loans
- investing in ethical and sustainable industries such as healthcare
Comparing Top Sharia Pension Plans
If you are looking for Sharia-compliant pension funds to ensure you can save for retirement without breaching Islamic rules, then Penfold and Nest pension funds are a good place to start.
Nest Sharia Pension Fund
The Nest Sharia Fund invests in what are known as Islamic bonds (sukuks) that are fully Sharia-compliant. Nest ensures that Islamic scholars screen the investment products and services to ensure they adhere to Islamic rules.
In addition, Nest's Sharia Fund avoids haram industries and interest-bearing investments.
Nest's fee structure consists of a contribution charge (around 1.8%) and an annual management charge in the region of 0.3% based on the value of the fund.
With ethical investments at the core of its activities, the Nest Sharia Fund delivers growth whilst generating income. More recently, Nest has worked on diversifying its investment portfolio to include a 30% allocation to the sukuks it invests it.
Penfold Sharia Pension Fund
The Penfold Sharia Fund invests in a diverse portfolio of companies and funds that all operate in accordance with Sharia principles.
The Penfold fee structure charges an annual fee for savings up to £100k of 0.88%, and this fee drops to 0.53% on amounts over £100k. This transparent and easy to follow fee structure makes this pension fund attractive to investors.
Both these Sharia pension funds use rigorous screening processes that aim to ensure that all investments comply with Islamic finance rules.
If any company they invest in has a proportion of what is considered to be non-compliant income (ie income from interest), then they use purification processes such as donating money to charity.
Investment Risks And Rewards
Sharia pension funds are the same as all investment vehicles on the market. They come with their own unique set of risks and rewards. For Sharia pension funds, the risk management and mitigation strategies should be aligned with Islamic rules.
Sharia pension funds tend to avoid fixed income securities and conventional bonds as these vehicles rely on interest. Instead, Sharia pension funds prefer to invest in Islamic bonds.
Risk
The risk profile for Sharia pension funds can sometimes have a higher risk exposure due to the fact that they stay away from conventional interest-bearing bonds.
Return
In the long term, Sharia-compliant funds deliver comparable and competitive returns to conventional bonds.
Ethical Investments Vs Conventional Funds
It is important to note that Sharia pension funds maintain a balance between competitive financial returns and ethical investment strategies. This makes Sharia funds an attractive option for investors.
If you are looking for investments that focus on societal benefit whilst generating an income (or savings pot) then Sharia pension funds are a great alternative to conventional bonds.
Ethical sectors have seen a massive resurgence in recent years, with strong growth potential. Industries such as renewable energy and technology are prime for investment.
Investors are increasingly considering environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors when examining pension funds.
- Over 89% of investors consider ESG when investing.
- In the UK over 57% of investors now hold ESG investments
- Young Gen Z investors are increasingly interested in ethical investments
- Islamic funds continue to deliver results with nominal growth rates of 84% and 13% of annualised growth rates (Morningstar.CA)
How To Choose And Switch To A Sharia Pension Fund
In order for you to choose a Sharia pension fund you need to ensure you understand what a Sharia pension fund is and how it operates.
If you have a pension fund that you want to switch to a Sharia fund then you need to:
- Review your current pension fund.
- Find out if your pension fund provider is able to offer a Sharia-compliant fund.
- If not, ask if you can switch your pension fund.
- Check your pension fund information to see if there are any penalties or fees for switching to a Sharia-compliant provider.
- Research what Sharia pension fund providers are available and make sure they are fully Sharia compliant.
- Choose your new pension fund provider and open an account.
- Ask your current pension provider to transfer your fund to the new Sharia-compliant provider.
If you want to transfer a workplace pension then speak to your HR team or your employer to find out if they accept transfers of the fund.
Switching to a Sharia pension fund should be straightforward.
Future Of Sharia Pension Funds
Sharia pension funds are becoming a popular investment vehicle and retirement savings plan for Muslims and non-Muslims. The ethical investment market continues to grow as investors across the world seek out sustainable and ethical investments.
Underpinned by social responsibility, the investments within Sharia pension funds appeal to a global audience of investors.
Sharia funds have become known in financial circles as promoting financial inclusion. They cater to investors who have not been able to fund ethical investments or investments that align with Islamic rules.
If you want to prepare for retirement in a Sharia-compliant way then Sharia pension funds provide the perfect vehicle for you. Providers like Penfold and Nest provide Sharia-compliant pension funds with competitive fees.
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