NFT Investments

According to reports, global sustainable investment assets had exceeded $30 trillion by 2018, driven primarily by a surge in values-based investing [1]. The core concept behind values-based investing is that investments are made around a shared set of values present in an investment philosophy. This topic is even more prevalent now, as sustainable investing has been identified as key for the post-pandemic recovery. In this article, we provide an overview of a rapidly growing area within values-based investing called impact investing, that has grown to an estimated total market size globally of over $715 billion in 2020 [2]. We then compare the core values that are inherent in Sharia-compliant (i.e. Islamic) investing with those of other values-based investing strategies.

Overview of impact investing
The Global Impact Investing Network (GIIN) defines impact investments as "investments made into companies, organizations, and funds with the intention to generate social and environmental impact alongside a financial return".

Whereas financial returns are typically measured using commonly used metrics (ROE, ROI, etc.), what distinguishes impact investing is the measurement of social returns as well. Within this context, the main points to consider when measuring social returns are according to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) [3] are:

• Outputs are activities carried out by an organization or project. Outputs are meaningless without context. Let's take the example of building a solar power or solar farm to provide reliable power to communities for the first time.
• Outcomes on the other hand are short or intermediate-term, tangible effects observed by project beneficiaries. A tangible effect from the construction of the solar farm would be for example a reduction in energy costs for the project beneficiaries.
• Impacts are broader, more long-term and sweeping changes usually affecting a larger groups of people or community. Measuring impact in this sense is extremely difficult, particularly with regards to being able to isolate and quantify changes that are directly related to a project (i.e. holding all else constant).

Among all social returns impact is the most difficult to measure and hence there is an increasing focus in impact investing on measuring outcomes.

Foundations of Islamic finance
Islamic finance or Sharia-compliant finance involves financing activities that comply with the Sharia (Islamic law). For instance some prohibited activities include that financing must not involve:

• Riba or an increase in capital without any real services provided - akin to "usury" or unjust exploitative gains.
• Gharar or speculation or chance is not allowed - this includes for example excessive uncertainty regarding essential elements of a contract, such as price in a contract of sale.
• Haram (Forbidden) businesses or industries - This practically involves an exclusionary screening process as it is forbidden to finance companies that derive significant income from the sale of alcohol, tobacco, pork, weapons, gambling, pornography and interest-based financial institutions.

It is important to note that in Islam, money has no inherent value on its own. Money increases or decreases in value only when joined with other resources for the purposes of productive activities. All transactions must be based on real economic activity. Islamic finance also goes beyond the purpose of financing to cover the structure of financing. Contemporary Islamic finance incorporates these principles and others in a wide variety of products to meet the growing global demand for Sharia-compliant investment and financing.
Other values-based investing strategies
Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) also known as ethical investing, involves avoiding industries that negatively affect the environment and its people.This includes actively removing or choosing investments from a portfolio based on specific ethical criteria. SRI exclusionary screening avoids for example companies that produce or invest in alcohol, tobacco, gambling and weapons. Environmental, Social & Governance (ESG) investing grew out of investment philosophies such as SRI. ESG however is a framework for evaluating companies and not a standalone investment strategy. It is intentionally neutral - Not faith, country or industry specific.

Areas of overlap
Islamic finance & SRI show some similarities in their objectives (do good, avoid harm), methods (exclusionary screening) & claims (an emphasis on ethics). As mentioned earlier however, Islamic finance goes beyond the purpose of financing to cover the structure of financing as well. Islamic screening also goes over and above SRI screening to exclude other sectors such as interest-based financial institutions for example.

Similarities between impact investing and Islamic finance on the other hand stem from a a strong emphasis in Islam on social and economic justice as well as supporting any action with a view to protecting the planet and the environment. One area of overlap for example is around access to finance for the world's populations that are directly or indirectly kept out of formal financial sectors. Another interesting development is the issuance of green sukuks that are Sharia-compliant investments in renewable energy and other environmental assets. They address Sharia concerns for protecting the environment. It is however important to note that more has to be done in the Islamic finance space to measure impact and in particular measuring outcomes.

What is the role of Qardus?

Qardus is a social impact investment platform that promotes financial inclusion. The SMEs we finance in the UK were prior to this financially excluded due to the lack of financial products that conform with their ethics & values. Financial inclusion is positioned prominently as an enabler of other development goals in the 2030 UN Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs) such as regarding SDG 8 on promoting economic growth & jobs & SDG 10 on reducing inequality.

Along these lines, a recent report by Oxford Economics has also attempted to measure the outcome of lending on another crowdfunding (P2P) platform [4]. The report on page 9 indicated for every £1 million lent on their platform, there was a £2 million contribution to GDP, 37 jobs were supported, and £635k were generated in taxes.

[1] http://www.gsi-alliance.org/
[2] https://thegiin.org/research/publication/impinv-survey-2020
[3] https://www.undp.org/content/dam/istanbul/docs/Islamic_Finance_Impact.pdf
[4] https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/recent-releases/1074dfbd-d5e1-4498-abd3-95b399ad63fc

WHAT IS GHARAR?

Islamic finance defines gharar as something that is uncertain, risky, or hazardous. If there is a financial transaction where any of the basic elements of the agreement are unclear, uncertain, or ambiguous then the transaction or activity could be deemed to have an element of gharar.

Using the principles of Sharia law, the reason gharar is prohibited in Islam is that it removes transparency, openness, and certainty in financial transactions and contracts.

Gharar And Islamic Finance

According to Islamic finance principles, which themselves are based on Sharia law, gharar is a fundamental prohibition in Islam as it results in a lack of certainty.

This lack of certainty then increases the level of risk and liability to one or both parties.

Islamic Finance And Ethics

Islamic finance is based on ethical finance. What this means is that whilst Islamic finance and Sharia rules recognise the importance of finance in society, there is a need to ensure that there is intrinsic value and ethical boundaries when parties transact.

The underlying ethical principles in Islamic finance aim to ensure that there is transparency and certainty for the parties involved.

When you understand the ethical nature of Islamic finance you appreciate how it works to protect the parties and ensure there is fairness.

Examples Of Gharar

Some examples of gharar in modern contracts and financial transactions include the following:

• options contracts
• future sales
• selling the unknown
• short selling
• sales of debt
• day trading

Essentially, the sale of anything which is not present or tangible is gharar, and therefore not permissible in Islam.

Similarly, if ownership of an asset or product is uncertain this could also be considered to be gharar.

This is why it is important that you understand the concept of gharar and how it is applied, whether you are dealing with a bank, business, financial institution, web page or individual.

Elements Of Gharar

In order to decide if any financial tranaction or business dealing has an element of gharar you need to assess the level of certainty within the terms of the deal.

Some of the main terms you need to understand include the nature of the transaction, the parties, the language of the contract, the product, or service involved.

Gharar has certain characteristics that you need to be aware of.

• the parties: gharar does not always relate to uncertain or risky terms in the contract. Gharar could also occur in the nature of the parties involved, their relative bargaining power, their openness and the level of risk they take on
• contract terms: language used in the contract must be clear and concise.
• two or more sales in one: this refers to deals that are uncertain with timings. For example, if a seller states they will 'sell this asset for £100 in cash today and £150 next week'. The timings here are uncertain.
• conditional contracts: this refers to conditions in a contract that are unknown and uncertain. For example, if a seller states they will sell the buyer an item if the market improves.
• price : if the price in a contract is not known then this could be deemed to be gharar. You should always be careful where the payment terms are not clear.
• Speculation: if you have agreed terms that are speculative then this is not permitted.
• Subject matter: ie, if there is uncertainty in the subject of the contract.
• Delivery: again, be careful if there are no specified delivery terms or final contract date.

Impact Of Gharar

In Islamic finance, certain types of contract are void. These include contracts that are deemed to be invalid, and contracts that are defective.

Invalid contracts are those where key details are missing, such as the price, the payment terms, and the duration.

Defective contracts are contracts which do not contractually bind the parties correctly.Based on these principles, any contract that includes elements of gharar can be deemed to be both invalid and defective in Islam.

How To Avoid Gharar

Whether you are looking to avoid gharar in your financial dealings or daily life, there are some things you can do to ensure that you are compliant with Sharia rules.

You can ensure that there is certainty in your dealings, fairness and openness, and that you are not misleading anyone else. Any transaction should involve the consent and knowledge of the parties involved.

Gharar And Trade

When it comes to trading or business, one of the main ways to ensure you do not fall into the gharar trap is to ensure that any trading has the consent of both parties.

Any form of trading in risk is not permissible. If it is likely that one party in the transaction is likely to make a significant gain at the cost of the other, then the result is that this is generally forbidden under Sharia law.

Any exchange that could lead to exploitation and injustice should be avoided. Instead, you should aim to ensure that all your dealings are transparent, consensual, and satisfactory to both parties.

WHAT ARE INTEREST RATES?

Interest and inflation rates are linked and affect our daily lives from the cost of our weekly shop to how much money we can borrow. Interest rates are essentially the amount borrowers are charged for borrowing money. Most banks will show the interest rate as a percentage of the total loan amount. This means that the higher the percentage, the more interest you will pay back over the term of your loan.

If you are not a borrower and you are a saver, then the interest rate will inform you how much money you will accrue in your account. the higher the interest savings rate you have the more money you will be paid into your bank account.

Interest rates vary depending on who you are borrowing from, the amount of your borrowing, the level of risk involved, and the terms of your loan.

If a lender thinks lending you money is high-risk then it is likely they will charge you a higher interest rate. In this way, the economics of a country are impacted by the interest rates.

HOW CHANGES IN THE INTEREST RATE AFFECT US?

One of the most obvious impacts of a changing interest rate is that it affects the amount of interest we are paid (as savers) or pay (as borrowers).

Any time there are changes in interest rates you should examine your savings and lending to see if you will be affected.

For those looking to borrow money, whether that is to buy a house, invest in business, or even just for the purposes of education (such as a student loan), the cost of borrowing will increase when interest rates are raised.

Current economic uncertainty means that businesses, individuals, corporations, and almost everyone in society are impacted.

For homeowners, an increase in interest rates means an increase in repayments (unless the mortgage is based on a fixed rate). Ultimately, this will result in a squeeze on household income and budgets at a time when the UK is dealing with an energy bills crisis and an increase in fuel costs.

To summarize the main effects of rising interest rates:

• increase in mortgage repayments

• increase in the cost of borrowing

• reduced consumer and business confidence

• increased incentive to save more to take advantage of the improved interest rates (but this depends on the rate being offered by banks on savings accounts)

• slower economic growth

• possible rise in unemployment

WHAT IS A BANK RATE?

A bank rate is set by the Bank of England. Arguably, it is the most crucial interest rate and is also sometimes known as the base rate.

The base rate is controlled by the Bank of England and is the rate paid by the Bank of England to businesses and banks that borrow from it.

The Bank of England is known as the central bank of the United Kingdom. They not only set the bank rate, which is currently 1.25%, but they also undertake the regulation of the banking industry, and financial business services, and they oversee the country's monetary policy. This then goes on to affect the economy including employment, wages, spending, and borrowing.

When banks set an interest rate they consider many factors in addition to the bank rate.

However, if the Bank of England changes the bank rate, then banks will also change their interest rate for both borrowers and savers in the market.

WHAT IS INFLATION?

The word inflation describes rising prices. If prices of goods and services are rising quickly then this is referred to as the rate of inflation.

Currently, in the United Kingdom the rate of inflation is 9.4%.

The rate of inflation is worked out by comparing the cost of products today and comparing the price against what the same products cost a year ago. The Office for National Statistics is the organization that is responsible for checking the price of goods and services.

If the price of production, imports, and raw materials increases then it is very likely that the rate of inflation will also increase. In addition, any increase in demand from consumers also causes the inflation rate to increase.

This is what is currently happening in the UK with the cost of living crisis.

WHAT CAUSES INFLATION?

As mentioned above, inflation is caused by various factors. The main drivers of inflation rates going up are the increased cost of production, and increases in raw materials and wages.

If inflation rates begin to increase it means that the cost of basic necessities including food and household items also rises. This can adversely affect society as many people will struggle to afford the basics and fall into debt. Inflation rates could also affect employment rates as employers also face cuts to their budgets and increased costs of operating.

Inflation does not only affect the basic necessities such as food. As we have seen recently in the UK, inflation also affects utilities, fuel costs, clothing, luxury goods, and cars.

Some of the main factors causing the rising prices in the UK, and thereby affecting the rate of inflation, include the following:

• increase in energy bills

• high fuel prices

• the war in Ukraine

• the rising cost of car prices (according to the Office for National Statistics)

• increased costs of household goods and furniture

• increased costs of food

• higher interest rates impacting homeowners

Whilst the cost of goods is rising, the wage increases are not rising in line with the cost of living.

HOW ARE INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION CONNECTED?

Theoretically, interest rates and inflation rates have what is considered to be an inverse relationship. This means that when interest rates are low, inflation is expected to rise, and when interest rates are high inflation rates should go down.

When interest rates are lower, the borrowing power of consumers is increased.

If consumers are spending but the prices of goods are going up faster than wages are increasing, then inflation rates increase. In order to encourage borrowers to borrow less and encourage them to save more the Bank of England increased the interest rate.

The aim is to slow the economy down enough to decrease inflation.

WHY HAVE INTEREST RATES GONE UP?

The Bank of England has increased interest rates so that it can reduce the rate of inflation. If the rate of inflation continues to go up in the UK then this can have many negative effects on UK residents. Currently, the inflation rate in the UK is at a 40 year high.

For example, people will have to pay more and more for goods and services. Property could lose some of its value, and fuel prices could continue to rise.

If inflation rises too high then this is called hyperinflation. This can result in a full economic collapse and devalue the currency.

WHY DID THE BANK OF ENGLAND RAISE INTEREST RATES?

The general view is that if the Bank of England raises interest rates they want people to spend less money.

When interest rates increase the Bank of England hopes that people begin to spend less and save more.

The Role Of The Bank Of England In The Economy

The Bank of England was established in 1694 as a private bank that lent the UK government money.

In 1997, the Bank of England was granted independence so that it could set the interest rates without any form of political affiliation.

The Bank of England is not connected to the Chancellor of the Exchequer as it it is important for it to base its interest rates on economic factors rather than political ones.

Not only does the Bank of England set the base rate, but they also:

• forecast the inflation rates

• issue coins and bank notes

• act as a lender of last resort for UK banks

The Current State Of The Uk Economy

According to PWC, the UK economy was recovering well from the global pandemic.

Unemployment rates were low and the labour market and service industry was recovering well.

However, the war in Ukraine was a shock to the UK economy (and economics globally), impacting it in many different ways including:

• disrupting supplies and services for all industries including retail and construction,

• leading to higher commodity prices and less revenue for businesses

• lower trade levels

• less investment flow

News agencies and websites are reporting that the UK growth outlook for the next 12 months does not look promising.

KPMG has agreed with this analysis stating that the GDP growth this year will halve and slow further in 2023 (UK Economic Outlook Report, KPMG, 2022).

According to KPMG, they predict further interest rate increases from the Bank of England. This is based on data from economic forecasts, consumer spending, interest rates, and the unemployment rates.

WHAT IS HAPPENING IN OTHER COUNTRIES?

Many other countries around the world are dealing with similar problems that the UK economy is dealing with.

According to the Office for National Statistics, the European Union is facing similar rates of inflation as the UK.

The United States is reporting inflation levels of 9.1%.

DO INTEREST RATE AND INFLATION RISES AFFECT INVESTOR BEHAVIOR?

The basic answer to this question is yes. Interest rates and inflation rates affect investor behavior. In fact, changes in inflation and interest rates affect everyone.

What it means in real terms is that any money you have saved could be worth less today than it was yesterday. High inflation rates impact the purchasing power and confidence of consumers and their spending.

Inflation rates and interest rates affect investment portfolios. If investors are finding it more expensive to borrow funds to invest then it is very likely that investments overall will reduce.

Investor Risk

Investors aim to increase their wealth and minimize their risk and tax liabilities. In an economy where interest rates and inflation are rising, there is normally an impact on portfolios and investments.

Rising inflation not only affects stocks and bonds it also affects property prices. Of course, all investment comes with a risk of losses.

Any investor with inflation-indexed assets or liabilities needs to be particularly aware of the changes in their portfolio.

Also, as interest rates rise this affects borrowing. As borrowing becomes more expensive, this leads to investors having less money available to invest.

Rises in interest rates also affect the stock market and the impact of the rise is usually felt quicker than in the general economy.

Normally, when interest rates fluctuate investors should expect the market rate of their bonds to also fluctuate. However, not all bonds are equally affected. Bonds that have short maturities may not be as impacted as bonds with longer maturities.

For investors who have a long-term outlook and planning when it comes to their portfolio, short-term changes to the interest rate should not significantly impact them.

For an investor who is looking at the long-term goal and who has a mix of assets, the long-term outlook of their portfolio should be fine.

To summarize, when interest rates increase the impact on investments includes the following:

• a rise in mortgage rates

• affect on the price of commodities

• Fall in bond prices

• Potential losses in the stock market

• fluctuations in real estate values

• increases competition between banks

Interest Rates And Islamic Finance Customers

For many borrowers, any increase in interest rates will affect how much they pay back to the bank they have borrowed from. The exception to this is those with fixed rate loans or mortgages. As the interest rate on these loans has effectively been 'fixed' for a specific period, then interest hikes or drops will not affect the repayments. Make sure to check when your fixed rate period comes to an end so you can plan accordingly.

In theory, for customers of banks who want Islamic Finance and Sharia compliant services, changes in the interest rate should not adversely affect borrowers or savers. This is because banking services based on Islamic Finance principles do not rely on interest or include any form of interest payment.

Conceptually, Islamic banking customers are not motivated by profits or gains. Therefore, changes to the interest rate should not affect them.

However, on a wider scale, any changes to the interest rates and inflation will affect all lending institutions in some way. Many Islamic Finance lenders use the base rate of the country to benchmark their repayment calculations. This means any increase to the base rate could affect the repayments for customers of Islamic finance products.

However, for economies where the interest and inflation rates and subject to fluctuation, this could lead to more people being interested in the interest-free products offered by financial institutions that offer Sharia compliant services. A research study in Malaysia found that any increase in base rates increased consumer interest in Islamic mortgages.

Ultimately, how you are affected by increased interest rates and inflation rates depends entirely on your financial circumstances and the management of your investment portfolio.