Islamic Fintech set to flourish in the post covid world

The success of your business depends on you maintaining a healthy cashflow. You want to have money available in order to pay your bills and your staff on a weekly or monthly basis, along with having capacity for growth.

It doesn't matter how great your product or your marketing might be. The foundation of success for businesses, and the reason why some don't make it, is cashflow. The moment you don't have the money in the bank to pay your staff, suppliers or tax bills, you could be in big trouble. Cashflow planning helps you to see this coming, giving you time to take action.

Cashflow planning is essential

It's much more comfortable when you have consistent, positive cashflow. There are no moments of panic when you fret over how you'll pay a particular commitment. You have more time to plan ahead, to have an eye on the future rather than worrying about today.

Consistent, positive cashflow doesn't just happen. Being profitable doesn't guarantee that your business will always have the cash to meet your commitments. Income from sales doesn't always flow in fast enough to cover payments you need to make. Achieving a steady cashflow requires planning. It starts by making a cashflow forecast.

Prepare a cashflow forecast

A cashflow forecast is a plan of the money your business expects to receive and to pay out in the near future. It helps you to predict how much money will be in your bank account at any point in time. A cashflow forecast is usually broken down into months or weeks to make it easier to plan.

To construct your cashflow forecast you'll want to use a spreadsheet or a cashflow planning tool. Your accounting system can provide useful information about your past cashflow but it's not so helpful for predicting the future, because it's based on transactions that have already occurred.The benefits of preparing and maintaining a cashflow forecast include:

• You have better control over your business finances.
• It helps you to make realistic decisions about spending.
• You can plan for the future more easily.

Your cashflow forecast is just that - a forecast. The reality will turn out differently, although a well-prepared forecast won't be that far off what actually happens.

Use a forecast to make better business growth decisions

Growing a successful business requires you to make choices. If your business model is sound it's likely your business will expand naturally, at least in its early days. However, it won't be too long before the rate of growth levels off, as you've satisfied the initial levels of demand. Maintaining growth, or restarting it, requires decisions and actions that will bring in more customers and extend your opportunities to earn more revenue.

Your cashflow forecast will help you to assess the impact of these decisions. It allows you to model what's likely to happen in the future, as you incur more costs with the objective of growing sales.The forecast will help you determine the costs and benefits of actions such as:

• Launching a new marketing campaign.
• Taking on a new member of staff.
• Selling a new product.
• Purchasing new equipment.
• Expanding into a new geographical area.
• Raising additional working capital.

Forecasting requires making some estimates about likely future income based on your choices.

How to build a cashflow forecast

Whatever tool you use to build your forecast, it will have three basic sections. These are:

• Incoming cash
• Outgoing cash
• The net balance

Step 1 - Incoming cash

This section is a list of your different sources of income. Depending on how you sell, you may want to break this down into different categories based on the type of income, such as cash sales, credit sales, credit card settlement and the like.

Not all incoming cash is from sales. You may also receive cash from loans, equity investments, tax refunds and other sources.

Once you've completed this section, you should have a clear idea of how much money you expect to receive on a weekly or monthly basis, over the period of the forecast. Typically, a cashflow forecast will look six months to a year ahead, and longer for bigger projects.

Step 2- Outgoing cash

In the same way, list all the payments made from your business. Be sure to include every form of payment, and take care to include irregular or annual payments. To help you check that you've not missed something, take a look at your accounts for the previous year to see what payments were made.

Payments you're likely to have in this section include:

• Stock purchases
• Payroll
• Tax payments
• Loan repayments
• Asset purchases
• Expense reimbursements

Once you've completed this section you should have a total for the cash outgoings on a weekly or monthly basis.

Step 3 - Net balance

The net balance is the difference between the total incoming cash and the total outgoing cash. If you add your opening bank balance, the cashflow forecast will now give you an estimate of how much money you will have in your bank account on any particular day.

In a strong, healthy business the net balance should be positive. If it's not, the forecast will help you to identify the reason. It may be that you're investing in business growth, which will bring in more future sales income but involves advance costs. The forecast will help you identify whether you need to source short or medium-term funding from elsewhere, and the scale of that funding.

Common problems with cashflow forecasts

Errors occur in cashflow forecasts because the process involves making estimates and it often relies on data that's input into a spreadsheet manually, rather than taken directly from your accounting system.

Problems to look out for in your cashflow forecast include:

• Overlooking VAT on sales, purchases and tax payments.
• Inaccurate information about future receipts and payments.
• Big differences between actual and estimated sales.

It takes time to build and refine an accurate cashflow forecast. Don't be surprised that you need to alter yours often, adding in unexpected receipts and payments.

Keep your forecast up to date

Because your cashflow forecast is based on estimates and assumptions, it will very quickly differ from what actually happens. This means you should update it regularly and often. A well-run business will maintain their cashflow forecast several times a week, perhaps even daily, to keep it as accurate as possible.

Cashflow planning is a vital business activity that you can't afford to overlook or put off. If you're planning to grow your business successfully, the time you put into cashflow forecasting is a wise investment.

Ethical business funding from Qardus

We support growing businesses by providing growth finance of between £50k to £200k on terms of between 6 and 36 months. This finance is helping UK-based small and medium-sized companies to expand their operations and their market share.

We fund businesses that have demonstrated their capability with a proven product and management team. Our clients are drawn from many different industries, but our ethical position means we cannot work with companies involved with products considered detrimental to the welfare of society, such as gambling, alcohol and tobacco. This is because we operate based on Islamic community principles. Our funding process is certified as Sharia-compliant.

We work with businesses and their owners both inside and outside the Muslim community. Any business that operates in line with our ethical values is welcome to apply for funding.

If your business is looking for growth funding that's fast, affordable and ethical, get in touch with us today.

The COVID-19 pandemic has not only resulted in a public health crisis, but has also increased poverty levels and accelerated inequalities across the world. According to a recent survey of 37 countries[1], since the start of the pandemic:

• 3 in 4 households suffered a reduction in income with 82% of poorer households affected.
• Gender inequalities are on the rise due to consumer-facing industries being hit the hardest.
• Minorities in high income countries have been hit hardest as they live in areas that have been most vulnerable to the health and economic impacts of the pandemic.
• Inequality is also rising between countries as high-income countries have been better placed to provide financial & social safety nets to counter the crisis relative to poorer countries.

On the other end, the wealth gap is also widening as billionaires saw their wealth rise 27.5% to £7.9trn between April to July this year with their total numbers increasing to a record 2,189 (2,158 in 2017)[2]. This generally reflects the strong performance in global stock markets since the start of the pandemic.

As nations across the world attempt to cope with the crisis, they might be able to draw upon mechanisms that were used historically in the Muslim world in order to reduce poverty and income inequalities. Some of these mechanisms highlighted below, when used correctly, might serve to soften the blow by allowing for the systematic redistribution of wealth in society. These include amongst others access to a unique financing type as well as well as other mechanisms for income redistribution:

• Qard Hasan (benevolent loan) is a loan that is extended from a lender to a borrower for social welfare purposes. Through this mechanism the rich are encouraged to extend loans to the needy. The lender has no right to demand any amount in excess of the original principal amount as that would violate the prohibition on Riba (interest or usury). When used on a broad scale, this type of financing serves as a tool to not only reduce income inequality and alleviate poverty but also promote financial inclusion.
• Zakat and al-Khums (compulsory charity) and Sadaqa (voluntary charity) are mechanisms for income redistribution from the rich to the poor. Zakat, for example, a mandatory almsgiving that requires Muslims who own wealth at or above a certain threshold to donate a portion of it, typically 2.5%, to those who are eligible.[3]
• Historically, Awqaf (endowments) or the waqf (singular) played a pivotal role in socio-economic development across the Muslim world. They were important Islamic financial institutions that mobilized and facilitated the flow of funds towards philanthropic causes such as in order to fund education, health & libraries amongst others.

To varying degrees, some of these mechanisms are currently being used in various parts of the world, whereas others (ex. Waqf) are no longer as prevalent as they once were. Having said that, more has to be done as nearly all economic indicators suggest we have reached a tipping point with high levels of poverty and income inequality across the world. Efforts by policy makers to address these issues by preempting them could involve integrating such mechanisms as well as others in order to allow for a more equitable distribution of wealth and income. This in turn would create the foundations for resilient systems that are better able to cope with shocks as they appear.

[1]https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/10/covid-19-is-increasing-multiple-kinds-of-inequality-here-s-wh...[2]https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54446285[3]https://nzf.org.uk/about-zakat/purpose-of-zakat/

In recent years Islamic Finance has firmly established itself as one of the most vibrant and yet often overlooked sectors within FinTech, as well as within the global financial services industry more broadly.

However, Islamic Finance is in fact a very broad term that encompasses a wide range of products, services and types of firms. What is true across this diverse segment of global financial services is that there is a lot of excitement for good reason. This is not at all surprising given the wave of innovation, growth and success of both the leading firms and the sector as a whole over recent years.Whether you are new to the world of Islamic Finance or a professional, our Insider’s Guide to Islamic Finance provides expert insights and latest data analysis on the sector - highlighting just how successful Islamic finance has become at a global level.


WHAT IS ISLAMIC FINANCE?

Islamic finance refers to financial services activities, most notably banking, insurance and financing (credit), that must adhere to Sharia law (Islamic Law). The term can also be used to refer to Sharia-compliant investments as well as broader capital and equity markets.

The common practices of Islamic finance and banking arose alongside the establishment of Islam. However, institutional Islamic finance did not emerge until the twentieth century. Currently, the Islamic finance sector is growing at a rate of 15% to 25% per year, with Islamic financial institutions managing assets worth over 2.7 trillion USD globally.

SIZE AND GROWTH OF ISLAMIC FINANCE

The global market for Islamic Finance continued positive momentum in 2020, recording a growth rate of 10.7% year-on-year, driven primarily by strong performance within Islamic Banking as well as the Equity and Capital markets:

• Islamic Banking: 4.3% year on year growth with a growth in total assets of 248 billion USD, particularly in the largest Islamic markets such as Saudi Arabia and Iran.
• Capital Markets: 26.9% year on year growth
• Islamic Insurance (Takaful): 10% annual growth rate and over 51 billion USD in total assets in 2019 prior to the global financial slowdown caused by COVID-19.

While the size and growth of the Islamic finance sector is heavily concentrated in those countries and regions where Islam is predominant, this is rapidly changing in recent years, due to an increase in global migration patterns as well as broader trends in society around ethical investments and sustainable development.

Currently the top 3 countries where Islamic Finance is most well established account for 66% of the global market size across a wide range of metrics:

• Saudi Arabia
• Iran
• Malaysia

However, the Islamic Finance sector is growing rapidly in terms of overall scale, diversity and reach around the globe and into new periphery markets. In 2020 there were over 1,526 islamic finance institutions in operation around the world, with over 46 countries now supporting the growth and development of Islamic Finance within their legal and regulatory frameworks.

This is particularly true within FinTech, where firms and growth has gravitated towards London, the global hub of innovation in financial services, despite the relatively small Islamic community in the United Kingdom.

THE FOUR MAIN AREAS OF ISLAMIC FINANCE

Our guide breaks the data and the sector down into four key areas that are currently driving innovation and global success:

• Islamic Banking
• Islamic Capital Markets (ICM)
• Islamic Insurance (Takaful)
• Islamic Fintech

This page provides an overview of each, including the latest data trends and key highlights, which are expanded on further in each of the individual sections to provide detailed analysis and insight on each area of Islamic Financial Services.

Section 1- Islamic Banking

In 2020 the total size of the Islamic Banking sector had a growth rate of 4.3% year on year and reached over 2.7 trillion USD in total assets. While Islamic banking is still largely regional in terms of market share and overall size, it now accounts for over 6% of the global banking market. Islamic Banking is also both the oldest and most important sub-sector within the global Islamic Financial Services industry, comprising 68.2% of the total market.
SIZE AND GROWTH

In the worldwide IFSI, the Islamic banking category maintained its dominance. Among the 36 jurisdictions included by the IFSI Stability Report 2021, the domestic market share of Islamic banking in relation to the total banking market segment has increased in at least 23 nations.

The performance of the Islamic banking category increased by 4.3 percent in 2020, compared to 12.4 percent in 2019. The Islamic banking segment now accounts for 68.2 percent of the global Islamic Financial Services Industry, down from 72.4 percent in 2019. This decrease is primarily due to the rising significance and strong performance within the Islamic Capital Markets during recent years, rather than indicating a drop in the performance within Islamic Banking.

Islamic Banking is still largely concentrated within geographic regions and markets, where it is the market leader within financial services. Taken together the 15 systemically important Islamic banking jurisdictions accounted for 92.4 percent of global Islamic banking assets, representing only a small increase from 91.4 percent in the previous year. These combined markets also now account for 82.7 percent of the total global assets linked to Sukūk that are currently outstanding, which indicates the availability of high-quality liquid assets (see SECTION 2 for more on Islamic Capital Markets).

DIVERSITY WITHIN ISLAMIC BANKING

As of 2020 there are now 526 Islamic Banking Institutions operating across 72 countries, with a systemically important market share in 15 of these jurisdictions. Within the Islamic Banking sector there is both innovation and diversity in terms of their operations and structures.Breakdown of Islamic banking institutions:

• 428 commercial
• 57 investment
• 22 wholesale
• 19 specialized

Regionally, GCC (the Gulf Cooperation Council countries) retained its position as the largest domicile for Islamic finance assets in 2020. The region accounted for 48.9% of global Islamic finance market share, increasing from 45.9% in 2019. The Middle East and South Asia (MESA) region constituted the second-largest share, accounting for 24.9% of global IFSI assets, remaining consistent with the previous year.

The South-East Asia (SEA) region's share shrank slightly to 20.3% in 2020 from 23.8% in 2019, while that of the Africa region remained small, with a share of 1.7%. The “Others” region, comprising Turkey, the UK and countries from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) region, accounted for 4.3% of total global IFSI assets.

Section 2 - Islamic Capital Markets (Icm)

SUKUK

Growth Rate: 26.9%
Share of IFSI: 30.9%

3,420 - Number of Sukuk issuances Outstanding (2019)
538 Billion USD - Total Value of Sukuk Outstanding (2019)

The sukuk market grew 30% in issuance value in 2019, increasing from 124.8 billion USD in 2018 to 162.1 billion USD. This is the 5th straight year where the sukuk sector has achieved double-digit growth in the sukuk industry, a leader within the overall strong performance in recent years across the Islamic Financial Services Industry.

Notably, although the volume of ṣukūk issuances dropped in 2020, ṣukūk issuances denominated in foreign currencies increased by 7% due to favourable liquidity and global market conditions created by a range of policy actions taken by central banks in Islamic majority markets in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and resulting economic slowdown.

The yield buckets for outstanding ṣukūk have shifted higher, with almost 80% yielding 3–10%

As with other sectors of Islamic Finance, Sukuk market share is both concentrated and significant within several key countries, where it is the debt instrument of choice for governments and has been relied upon to finance budget deficits during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Key Sukuk Markets:

• Malaysia
• Indonesia
• Saudi Arabia
• Iran is the Fastest Growing Market for Sukuk within Islamic Finance

ISLAMIC FUNDS

Number of Funds: 140
Share of ISFI: 30.9% of total assets
Annual Growth Rate: 30% (2019)

In 2020 the ICM sector made up 30.9% of the total assets within the global Islamic Finance Industry, with growth and positive performance in key markets driven by sovereign and multilateral Sukuk issuances.

Islamic funds also recorded a noteworthy growth of 31.9% in terms of the total value of assets under management, while the Islamic equity markets also rebounded in the later part of 2020 after the initial shock and volatility in 1Q20 due to the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic.

The total assets under management (AuM) of Islamic funds grew by 31.9% in 2020 despite the pandemic . While total AuM grew significantly, the total number of funds increased at a slower rate, which is a positive indication of growth in the average size of funds. The increase in scale of funds may be an indication of the flow of funds into emerging markets' fixed-income funds as a result of the search for yield and increased global liquidity.

Contrasting with the previous year, about 47% of funds now hold AuM of 1 billion USD or more each, while only 1% of funds hold AuM of less than 10 million USD (2019: only 2% held AuM of more than 1 billion USD each).

Section 3 - Islamic Insurance (Takaful)

Growth Rate: -14.8 %
Share of ISFI: 0.9% (2019)
The share of global takaful industry in the global IFSI declined marginally to 0.9% with a -14.8% growth y-to the exchange rate used for some member jurisdictions.

Section 4 - Islamic Fintech

Islamic FinTechs: 241 active in 2020
Transaction Volumes: 49 billion USD
Market share: 0.7% of total FinTech Transaction Volumes
SIZE AND GROWTH

Islamic Fintech is relatively small and recent but has shown strong initial signs of high growth and levels of innovation on a par, or superior to the wider FinTech sector even in the most competitive markets, such as London.

In 2020 the total transaction volume for Islamic Fintechs reached 49 billion USD, which is around 0.7% of the total global FinTech transaction volume.

While this represents an initial period of rapid growth, overall Islamic FinTech remains a relatively small part of the global Islamic Financial Services Industry. However, it is misleading to quantify the results as ‘poor performance’ in comparison to the strong growth within the mature sectors of Islamic Banking and Islamic Capital Markets. Instead, the demonstrated levels of innovation and competitiveness of Islamic FinTech also represents a huge opportunity for future growth.

At present the sector has yet to be fully developed across many regions and also many areas within the diverse FinTech landscape of innovation. Collectively, firms in the top 5 markets for Islamic FinTech account for 75% of the total market size, indicating a high concentration of market activity and room for future growth.
Top 5 Markets for Islamic FinTech:

• Saudi Arabia
• UAE
• Malaysia
• Turkey
• Kuwait

PERFORMANCE AND INVESTMENTS

The performance of Islamic Fintechs is particularly impressive, with projected transaction volumes set to reach over 128 billion USD in total by 2025. This represents a 21% CAGR, compared to the projected CAGR of 15% for the non-Islamic FinTech sector over the same period.

Investors have recognized this strong performance during recent years, with 56% of Islamic Fintechs expecting to complete an equity funding round in 2021. The expected average deal size for these investments was 5 million USD, providing a further indication that investors have high expectations for the performance of Islamic FinTech in the coming years.

Sources Used In This Report

• IFSB - the Islamic Financial Services Industry (IFSI) Stability Report 2021 [https://www.ifsb.org/download.php?id=6106&lang=English&pg=/index.php]
• DinarStandard & Ellipses - The Global Islamic Fintech Report 2021 [https://www.salaamgateway.com/specialcoverage/islamic-fintech-2021]
• ICD-REFINITIV - Islamic Finance Development Report 2020 [https://icd-ps.org/uploads/files/ICD-Refinitiv%20IFDI%20Report%2020201607502893_2100.pdf]